A PFG Normal Season Round 16

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv GO analysis

Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv GO
76 ELO 65
-13.6% Tilt 2.6%
804º General ELO ranking 4010º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Cherno More Varna
24.1%
Draw
15%
Lokomotiv GO

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15%
Win probability
Lokomotiv GO
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cherno More Varna
-7%
+29%
Lokomotiv GO

ELO progression

Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv GO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2016
MON
Montana
0 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
31%
27%
42%
76 67 9 0
18 Nov. 2016
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
48%
27%
25%
76 74 2 0
04 Nov. 2016
LSO
Levski Sofia
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
49%
24%
27%
76 77 1 0
30 Oct. 2016
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 1
Neftochimic Burgas
NEF
67%
21%
11%
76 58 18 0
26 Oct. 2016
LSO
Levski Sofia
2 - 3
Cherno More Varna
CVA
51%
24%
25%
76 78 2 0

Matches

Lokomotiv GO
Lokomotiv GO
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2016
LOK
Lokomotiv GO
1 - 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
31%
29%
40%
64 74 10 0
21 Nov. 2016
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
1 - 1
Lokomotiv GO
LOK
41%
27%
32%
64 59 5 0
04 Nov. 2016
VER
Vereya
1 - 0
Lokomotiv GO
LOK
40%
28%
32%
64 62 2 0
28 Oct. 2016
LOK
Lokomotiv GO
1 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
24%
27%
50%
63 78 15 +1
22 Oct. 2016
LUD
Ludogorets
4 - 0
Lokomotiv GO
LOK
72%
18%
10%
62 77 15 +1