Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
FKM
2 - 1
CVA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
CVA
1 - 0
BVR
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
BER
3 - 0
CVA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
CVA
1 - 0
SVA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
SLI
0 - 2
CVA
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
BVR
3 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
DUN
1 - 2
SVA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CHB
3 - 2
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
DUN
1 - 0
OFK
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
SSO
4 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |