Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
CVA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CVA
1 - 4
SEP
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
CVA
1 - 1
SSO
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
OFK
1 - 1
CVA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 0
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 1
MAR
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BER
0 - 3
CSK
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CSK
6 - 1
FKV
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
SEP
0 - 1
CSK
13%
24%
63%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |