Chepo vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHE
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
CHE
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
RIO
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHE
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 3
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
AMA
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |