Chepinets vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepinets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
KOS
1 - 1
CHE
26%
25%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
SEP
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HEB
0 - 3
CHE
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
CHE
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 1
GER
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
KOS
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
HEB
80%
13%
6%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |