Chepinets vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepinets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
FKV
6 - 1
CHE
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SEP
2 - 2
CHE
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 4
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FKM
2 - 0
CHE
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
PIR
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 3
SEP
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
STR
2 - 0
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
FKM
9%
19%
72%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PIR
3 - 3
BOT
87%
10%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAL
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |