Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
7º
3º
77
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
QYI
1 - 1
CBC
18%
24%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CBC
3 - 1
SHA
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
MEI
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
CBC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 0
CBC
21%
26%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
SJF
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
KAW
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
HEN
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
JOH
3 - 0
SHA
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 1
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |