3. Liga Round 26

Chemnitzer vs Dynamo Dresden analysis

Chemnitzer Dynamo Dresden
63 ELO 71
-3.5% Tilt -3.9%
2667º General ELO ranking 373º
113º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
28%
Chemnitzer
26.3%
Draw
45.7%
Dynamo Dresden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.7%
Win probability
Dynamo Dresden
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+14%
+2%
Dynamo Dresden

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Dynamo Dresden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2016
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 1
Chemnitzer
CHE
46%
27%
27%
63 64 1 0
05 Feb. 2016
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 0
Magdeburg
MAG
39%
27%
35%
63 65 2 0
30 Jan. 2016
HOL
Holstein Kiel
5 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
44%
27%
28%
63 64 1 0
17 Jan. 2016
CHE
Chemnitzer
2 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
14%
21%
65%
63 88 25 0
08 Jan. 2016
CHE
Chemnitzer
4 - 3
De Graafschap
GRA
50%
25%
25%
63 58 5 0

Matches

Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2016
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
63%
21%
16%
70 59 11 0
07 Feb. 2016
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
26%
26%
49%
71 61 10 -1
30 Jan. 2016
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
60%
23%
17%
70 61 9 +1
23 Jan. 2016
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
21%
25%
54%
71 57 14 -1
12 Jan. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
60%
23%
17%
71 83 12 0