Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
CHL
0 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
CHE
3 - 1
BFC
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
MAG
4 - 1
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
CHE
1 - 1
CZJ
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 1
BWA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
ERF
5 - 3
FVF
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
CHL
2 - 1
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
ERF
1 - 2
BFC
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |