3. Liga Round 24

Chemnitzer vs MSV Duisburg analysis

Chemnitzer MSV Duisburg
62 ELO 68
-3.9% Tilt 0.5%
2221º General ELO ranking 1188º
92º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Chemnitzer
27.7%
Draw
36.9%
MSV Duisburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.9%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+9%
+30%
MSV Duisburg

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2014
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 3
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
52%
25%
23%
63 60 3 0
25 Jan. 2014
HEI
Heidenheim
3 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
65%
21%
14%
64 75 11 -1
21 Dec. 2013
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
55%
25%
21%
63 69 6 +1
14 Dec. 2013
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 0
Unterhaching
UNT
49%
25%
26%
63 60 3 0
06 Dec. 2013
STU
Stuttgart II
1 - 1
Chemnitzer
CHE
37%
27%
36%
63 60 3 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2014
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
42%
25%
33%
68 70 2 0
25 Jan. 2014
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
33%
28%
39%
68 60 8 0
21 Dec. 2013
HEI
Heidenheim
2 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
59%
24%
18%
68 75 7 0
14 Dec. 2013
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
68%
20%
12%
68 58 10 0
07 Dec. 2013
PRE
Preußen Münster
2 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
44%
27%
29%
68 66 2 0