Chemnitzer vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
HAN
1 - 1
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 0
HAN
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
OBE
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ENE
0 - 2
CHE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MAG
4 - 1
CHE
65%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 1
OBE
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 1
HOL
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
4 - 0
ALT
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ENE
1 - 2
HOL
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 1
MAG
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |