3. Liga Round 17

Chemnitzer vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Chemnitzer Fortuna Köln
64 ELO 57
-5.9% Tilt -6.2%
2227º General ELO ranking 2466º
92º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Chemnitzer
25.2%
Draw
21.7%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+15%
-3%
Fortuna Köln

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
36%
28%
36%
65 68 3 0
01 Nov. 2015
WER
Werder Bremen II
3 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
32%
27%
41%
64 55 9 +1
25 Oct. 2015
CHE
Chemnitzer
3 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
47%
27%
26%
64 61 3 0
17 Oct. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 II
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
42%
27%
31%
64 62 2 0
01 Oct. 2015
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
49%
26%
25%
64 60 4 0

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
46%
24%
30%
58 57 1 0
31 Oct. 2015
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
53%
25%
22%
57 61 4 +1
24 Oct. 2015
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
3 - 1
Mainz 05 II
MAI
34%
27%
39%
55 62 7 +2
17 Oct. 2015
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
57%
24%
19%
54 60 6 +1
03 Oct. 2015
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 3
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
49%
25%
26%
56 56 0 -2