Chemelil Sugar vs Thika United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
CHE
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAK
1 - 4
CHE
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
ZOK
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
POS
1 - 0
CHE
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
KAS
29%
31%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
POS
3 - 1
THI
48%
29%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
THI
0 - 1
KAS
30%
30%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TUS
0 - 0
THI
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
THI
1 - 1
MAT
33%
30%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ZOK
2 - 1
THI
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |