Cheltenham Town vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
WAL
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
WES
4 - 1
CHE
30%
22%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
BIR
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 0
COL
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
DAG
1 - 1
COL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 0
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |