Premier League Sub 18 South Round 16

Chelsea U18 vs Arsenal U18 analysis

Chelsea U18 Arsenal U18
31 ELO 31
10.8% Tilt 19.1%
6905º General ELO ranking 6319º
250º Country ELO ranking 219º
ELO win probability
55%
Chelsea U18
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Arsenal U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
Chelsea U18
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.8%
Win probability
Arsenal U18
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chelsea U18
+26%
+3%
Arsenal U18

Points and table prediction

Chelsea U18
Their league position
Arsenal U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
23
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
West Ham U18
57
57
100%
Fulham U18
40
40
100%
Crystal Palace U18
39
39
100%
Chelsea U18
37
37
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
36
36
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
29
29
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
24
24
100%
Southampton U18
24
24
0%
Leicester U18
24
24
0%
Aston Villa U18
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Arsenal U18
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Norwich City U18
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chelsea U18
Arsenal U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Chelsea U18
Arsenal U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelsea U18
Chelsea U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
WHU
West Ham U18
1 - 3
Chelsea U18
CHE
74%
15%
11%
30 45 15 0
28 Jan. 2023
CHE
Chelsea U18
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur U18
TOT
57%
19%
24%
31 26 5 -1
14 Jan. 2023
NOR
Norwich City U18
1 - 7
Chelsea U18
CHE
18%
18%
64%
29 20 9 +2
03 Dec. 2022
AST
Aston Villa U18
1 - 3
Chelsea U18
CHE
24%
20%
56%
29 22 7 0
29 Nov. 2022
CHE
Chelsea U18
2 - 4
West Ham U18
WHU
20%
20%
60%
30 44 14 -1

Matches

Arsenal U18
Arsenal U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove U18
3 - 1
Arsenal U18
ARS
27%
21%
52%
31 24 7 0
28 Jan. 2023
ARS
Arsenal U18
2 - 2
Fulham U18
FUL
49%
21%
30%
31 34 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
ARS
Arsenal U18
4 - 3
Norwich City U18
NOR
80%
12%
8%
31 20 11 0
26 Nov. 2022
ARS
Arsenal U18
1 - 4
West Ham U18
WHU
26%
21%
54%
33 43 10 -2
19 Nov. 2022
ARS
Arsenal U18
1 - 2
Southampton U18
SOU
44%
21%
35%
33 35 2 0