Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CHL
2 - 2
BBU
66%
20%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
CHL
3 - 0
ZIL
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHL
2 - 1
LEI
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHL
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
ZIL
0 - 2
CHL
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
TOT
0 - 3
FUL
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
LIV
0 - 0
TOT
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
TOT
2 - 1
LEE
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BIR
1 - 0
TOT
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
TOT
0 - 4
BBU
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |