Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2017 |
CHL
4 - 3
WAT
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
WBA
0 - 1
CHL
9%
18%
72%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
CHL
3 - 0
MID
89%
9%
2%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
28%
25%
47%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
CHL
4 - 2
SOU
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 2
SWA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
HUL
0 - 2
SUN
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 1
BOU
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MID
1 - 0
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |