Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHL
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
CHL
2 - 3
BBU
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
SHW
0 - 0
CHL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CHL
4 - 1
LEE
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
MID
3 - 3
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MID
0 - 3
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LIV
1 - 0
MID
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
MID
1 - 2
WIM
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
TOT
1 - 1
MID
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |