Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 5
CHL
16%
23%
62%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VCF
1 - 1
CHL
37%
26%
38%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHL
4 - 1
SWA
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
78%
16%
7%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 2
LIV
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
3 - 1
WIG
68%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 2
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |