Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-3
Chelsea vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
3 - 1
COL
82%
14%
4%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MID
3 - 0
CHL
18%
25%
58%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
4 - 1
EVE
77%
17%
7%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
63%
22%
16%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHL
15%
24%
61%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FCB
5 - 1
BET
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VCF
1 - 0
FCB
31%
26%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 3
ATM
78%
15%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 1
ZAR
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MLL
0 - 3
FCB
20%
23%
57%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |