Chelmsford City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 2
CHM
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 4
HOR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
WES
3 - 0
CHM
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STA
1 - 3
CHM
24%
25%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
CHM
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SUT
0 - 1
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 1
FAR
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
BIL
2 - 1
FAR
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |