Chelmsford City vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 0
BAT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BIG
2 - 0
CHM
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 0
CHM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EBB
0 - 2
CHM
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHM
0 - 2
WHI
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EBB
2 - 0
EAS
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
EAS
5 - 2
FAR
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUT
4 - 0
EAS
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 2
EAS
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 0
FAR
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |