Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
FEI
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 3
CHA
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
VAR
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
TRO
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |