Chaves vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
PEN
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 2
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BMA
1 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
FAR
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 1
FEI
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
ACV
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
UNM
4 - 0
TRO
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |