Chaves vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 2
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BMA
1 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
FEI
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 1
BEN
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
SPC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 0
PEN
30%
30%
41%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
TON
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |