Chaves II vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
CHA
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SIL
2 - 1
CHA
8%
14%
78%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
5 - 1
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FAF
4 - 0
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GFC
2 - 1
FAF
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FAF
0 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
69%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UEQ
0 - 1
FAF
8%
16%
77%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |