Chauray vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
10º
50
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SNA
0 - 1
CHA
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
SAB
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
FON
27%
26%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
USS
4 - 2
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
LAV
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 0
USS
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LAV
3 - 1
NAN
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -3 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LPS
2 - 2
NAN
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
ACG
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
4 - 2
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |