Chauray vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
LAT
2 - 2
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
ANG
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
USS
0 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAB
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAV
0 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 1
FLE
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
LOR
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
LAN
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STA
0 - 2
LOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 1
SPM
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |