USL League One Normal Season Round 7

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers analysis

Chattanooga Red Wolves Richmond Kickers
47 ELO 52
14.4% Tilt 0.9%
5029º General ELO ranking 4721º
91º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
23.7%
Draw
39.9%
Richmond Kickers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.9%
Win probability
Richmond Kickers
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chattanooga Red Wolves
+54%
-24%
Richmond Kickers

Points and table prediction

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Their league position
Richmond Kickers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
20
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chattanooga Red Wolves
40
54
51.5%
One Knoxville
35
52
28.5%
Spokane Velocity
38
52
26.5%
Charlotte Independence
31
48
19%
Union Omaha
24
47
23%
FC Naples
34
45
25.5%
AV Alta
29
40
17%
Greenville Triumph
24
38
17.5%
Forward Madison
11º
22
36
24%
Portland Hearts of Pine
10º
24
36
10º
20%
Tormenta
13º
20
33
11º
19.5%
Richmond Kickers
12º
20
31
12º
21.5%
Texoma FC
25
30
13º
35.5%
Westchester SC
14º
16
27
14º
68%
Expected probabilities
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Richmond Kickers
Promotion play-offs
100% 11%
Mid-table
0% 89%

ELO progression

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Richmond Kickers
Charlotte Independence
Forward Madison
Portland Hearts of Pine
Westchester SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2025
NSC
Nashville SC
1 - 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
86%
11%
4%
47 83 36 0
20 Apr. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 - 0
Greenville Triumph
GTR
21%
23%
56%
46 60 14 +1
17 Apr. 2025
LVG
Las Vegas Lights
2 - 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
77%
14%
8%
45 61 16 +1
13 Apr. 2025
AVA
AV Alta
3 - 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
13%
16%
71%
47 24 23 -2
06 Apr. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 - 2
Tormenta
TOR
36%
23%
41%
46 51 5 +1

Matches

Richmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2025
RIC
Richmond Kickers
3 - 3
Greenville Triumph
GTR
28%
25%
47%
52 59 7 0
20 Apr. 2025
RIC
Richmond Kickers
4 - 4
Westchester SC
WES
73%
17%
10%
52 11 41 0
13 Apr. 2025
NAP
FC Naples
2 - 1
Richmond Kickers
RIC
20%
23%
58%
52 25 27 0
10 Apr. 2025
RIC
Richmond Kickers
1 - 0
Union Omaha
OMA
12%
20%
68%
51 71 20 +1
29 Mar. 2025
RIC
Richmond Kickers
1 - 2
Forward Madison
FMA
27%
26%
47%
51 59 8 0