Chasetown vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 3
CHA
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRI
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 4
CHA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 1
BUX
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BUX
7 - 0
RET
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BUX
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BUX
1 - 1
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
COL
2 - 1
BUX
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |