Chapecoense vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
57%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPO
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
CEN
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |