Chapecoense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |