Catarinense 1 Regular Season Round 6

Chapecoense vs Juventus SC analysis

Chapecoense Juventus SC
67 ELO 49
1.7% Tilt -10.6%
614º General ELO ranking 6576º
37º Country ELO ranking 259º
ELO win probability
75.2%
Chapecoense
16%
Draw
8.7%
Juventus SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
Chapecoense
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
Juventus SC
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chapecoense
+14%
+3%
Juventus SC

ELO progression

Chapecoense
Juventus SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2013
MET
Metropolitano
1 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
31%
26%
43%
67 56 11 0
31 Jan. 2013
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
49%
24%
28%
66 66 0 +1
27 Jan. 2013
FFL
Figueirense
2 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
68%
19%
13%
67 74 7 -1
24 Jan. 2013
CHA
Chapecoense
4 - 1
Avaí
AVA
34%
25%
42%
66 74 8 +1
20 Jan. 2013
JEC
Joinville
1 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
51%
24%
25%
65 65 0 +1

Matches

Juventus SC
Juventus SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2013
JUV
Juventus SC
1 - 3
Criciúma
CRI
19%
23%
59%
50 65 15 0
30 Jan. 2013
AVA
Avaí
2 - 1
Juventus SC
JUV
78%
15%
7%
50 73 23 0
27 Jan. 2013
JUV
Juventus SC
2 - 1
Hermann Aichinger
HER
26%
24%
50%
49 60 11 +1
23 Jan. 2013
CAM
Camboriú FC
1 - 2
Juventus SC
JUV
51%
23%
26%
48 51 3 +1
20 Jan. 2013
JUV
Juventus SC
1 - 3
Metropolitano
MET
36%
25%
40%
49 54 5 -1