Chapecoense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAH
52%
27%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SLO
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 0
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
29%
26%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |