Sul-Matogrossense . Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Chapadão vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 3
CHA
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
7DE
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
URS
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
AQU
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 1
AGU
13%
19%
69%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 1
NOV
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
COS
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |