Sul-Matogrossense Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Chapadão vs 7 de Setembro SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
7DE
0 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 1
CHA
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AQU
0 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
7DE
0 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
7DE
5 - 1
COL
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
7DE
5 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 2
7DE
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
7DE
1 - 0
NAV
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |