Change vs Le Mans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
USS
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
LES
11%
18%
71%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASS
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
5 - 1
SPG
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LEM
1 - 1
LAV
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEM
44%
23%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LEM
0 - 2
FON
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SPG
3 - 1
LEM
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LEM
0 - 0
LPS
27%
22%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |