Niort vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
NIO
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
AUX
5 - 0
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NIO
0 - 0
ASN
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 0
NIO
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
LHA
2 - 1
NIO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
LHA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
CLE
3 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 2
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
REI
5 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |