Niort vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DIJ
2 - 1
NIO
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
NIO
0 - 1
MPL
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 0
NIO
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
NIO
3 - 0
SED
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 0
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 1
TRO
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
STL
2 - 1
TRO
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |