Niort vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
NIO
0 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
NIO
2 - 2
AUX
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
REN
3 - 2
TFC
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 1
LIL
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 0
EIB
23%
26%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 3
GIR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MET
2 - 2
TFC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |