Niort vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ASB
0 - 2
NIO
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NIO
0 - 0
ASS
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
STL
1 - 1
NIO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NIO
3 - 1
TRO
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
SOC
0 - 1
LOR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASB
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
ASS
2 - 2
LOR
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 2
STL
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
TRO
2 - 0
LOR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |