Niort vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIO
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 0
NAN
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIO
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ANG
2 - 2
NIO
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 0
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAE
4 - 0
ROD
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ORL
1 - 3
CAE
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 0
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |