Niort vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
CLE
0 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
NIO
2 - 1
VAL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ORL
1 - 1
NIO
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
NIO
0 - 2
PSG
7%
16%
77%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
NIO
2 - 3
RED
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
AUX
0 - 2
STR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
STL
0 - 0
AUX
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
AUX
1 - 2
REI
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
AUX
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
LHA
1 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |