Chambly vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 3
AVR
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
SPI
3 - 2
CHA
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
STR
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
CHA
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 0
LPS
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
TRO
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
ORL
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
DIJ
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAL
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |