Challans vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAB
2 - 2
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
FON
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEM
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
VOL
2 - 0
CHA
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LES
0 - 0
SAU
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAU
1 - 0
SAB
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FON
1 - 1
SAU
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAU
0 - 1
ANG
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LRO
1 - 2
SAU
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |