FA Cup . 1/32

Chainat Hornbill vs Ayutthaya Warrior analysis

Chainat Hornbill Ayutthaya Warrior
45 ELO 33
12.8% Tilt 5.5%
5481º General ELO ranking 36099º
29º Country ELO ranking 221º
ELO win probability
71.9%
Chainat Hornbill
15.8%
Draw
12.3%
Ayutthaya Warrior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
Chainat Hornbill
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.3%
Win probability
Ayutthaya Warrior
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Chainat Hornbill
Ayutthaya Warrior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chainat Hornbill
Chainat Hornbill
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
PAT
Samut Prakan City
2 - 2
Chainat Hornbill
CHA
66%
20%
15%
44 52 8 0
22 Oct. 2022
TRA
Trat FC
1 - 0
Chainat Hornbill
CHA
60%
21%
19%
45 50 5 -1
19 Oct. 2022
YSU
Young Singh United
3 - 3
Chainat Hornbill
CHA
8%
14%
78%
45 26 19 0
16 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chainat Hornbill
1 - 1
Raj Pracha
RAP
66%
20%
15%
45 42 3 0
09 Oct. 2022
CHI
Chiangmai Utd
1 - 0
Chainat Hornbill
CHA
54%
22%
24%
46 48 2 -1

Matches

Ayutthaya Warrior
Ayutthaya Warrior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2022
WAR
Ayutthaya Warrior
6 - 0
Moonlight
MOO
78%
14%
8%
33 10 23 0
28 Sep. 2022
KAS
Kasetsart
1 - 6
Ayutthaya Warrior
WAR
56%
21%
23%
31 40 9 +2
25 Sep. 2016
KAP
Kamphaeng Phet
0 - 0
Ayutthaya Warrior
WAR
37%
24%
39%
35 34 1 -4
18 Sep. 2016
WAR
Ayutthaya Warrior
2 - 2
Kamphaeng Phet
KAP
58%
21%
21%
36 34 2 -1
27 Aug. 2016
WAR
Ayutthaya Warrior
3 - 1
Ayutthaya United
AYU
52%
22%
27%
36 35 1 0
X