Chadderton vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chadderton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
IRL
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 1
CHA
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SQU
2 - 4
CHA
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
6 - 1
BAR
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LTO
2 - 3
PAD
22%
22%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 1
CHE
73%
16%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IRL
1 - 2
PAD
30%
24%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
GLO
4 - 3
PAD
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |