Chadderton vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chadderton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 3
MOS
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 9
ALI
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WID
1 - 0
MOS
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
KEN
2 - 2
MOS
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
MOS
1 - 3
CLI
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |