Nacional B Bolivia - Apertura 1/16
Chaco Petrolero vs Cochabamba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
FAT
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 1
CHA
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 3
HUA
13%
22%
66%
|
12 | 64 | 52 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
UMA
10 - 2
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 61 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 3
TIQ
12%
21%
67%
|
12 | 65 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Cochabamba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
HAP
3 - 4
COC
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
TIQ
1 - 1
COC
88%
10%
3%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COC
2 - 1
HAP
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
COC
1 - 1
TIQ
5%
14%
81%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |