Chacarita Juniors vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1954 |
GLP
0 - 1
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1954 |
CHA
0 - 1
TIG
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
RIV
2 - 1
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
CHA
2 - 2
HUR
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
FER
2 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1954 |
NOB
1 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1954 |
SLO
2 - 3
NOB
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
NOB
1 - 2
BAN
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
IND
1 - 1
NOB
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
NOB
3 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |